Black Swans And The Collapse Of Empires Swimming In Debt

It is rather curious how people refuse to see obvious things.  This is why so many things are ‘unexpected’ or a ‘surprise’.  People who do see obvious things are called ‘cynics’.  Cynics are the exact opposite of banking gnomes and their ilk.  Cynics disparage wealth and power in order to see reality and truth.  Often, cynics go around telling people, ‘You are doomed’ which makes them party poopers.  But then, often, they are right.  

The Cynics (Greek: Κυνικοί, LatinCynici) were an influential group of philosophers from the ancient school of Cynicism. Their philosophy was that the purpose of life was to live a life of Virtue in agreement with Nature. This meant rejecting all conventional desires for wealthpowerhealth, and fame, and by living a life free from all possessions. As reasoning creatures, people could gain happiness by rigorous training and by living in a way which was natural forhumans. They believed that the world belonged equally to everyone, and that suffering was caused by false judgments of what was valuable and by the worthless customs and conventions which surrounded society. Many of these thoughts were later absorbed into Stoicism.

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The first philosopher to outline these themes was Antisthenes, who had been a pupil of Socrates in the late 5th century BCE. He was followed by Diogenes of Sinope, who lived in a tub on the streets ofAthens. He took Cynicism to its logical extremes, and came to be seen as the archetypal Cynic philosopher. He was followed by Crates of Thebes who gave away a large fortune so he could live a life of Cynic poverty in Athens. Cynicism spread with the rise of Imperial Rome in the 1st century, and Cynics could be found begging and preaching throughout the cities of the Empire. It finally disappeared in the late 5th century, although many of its ascetic and rhetorical ideas were adopted by early Christians.

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ΩΩThe Cave of Wealth and Death is the habitation of all religions.  All religions preach sharing, love and a rejection of material goods while at the exact same time, are greedy, self-centered, destructive and filled with intense hatred.  This is inescapable due to the fact that all things in this Cave of Wealth and Death is exact opposites at the same time.  The essence here is the totality of the contradictions.

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ΩΩThe innermost parts of our brain control all the ‘higher functions’ which we call ‘thinking’.  Humans evolved very complex brains due to evolutionary pressures.  I might even suggest that when we got into the habit of not only using stone tools and fire but carrying around special stones and sticks, we evolved some very peculiar parts of the brain no other animal has or uses.

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ΩΩThat is, the need to remember to carry these tools everywhere all the time and to protect the tools is uniquely human.  Animals have burrows, nests and even elaborate places where they stash stuff for winter or for sexual rites but none of them carry these things here, there and everywhere and have to worry about putting them down and picking them up again.

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ΩΩOne reason we find so many random rock tools dropped by early humans scattered all about Eastern Africa is probably due to the high loss rate early humans suffered.  The need to control physical things all the time by carrying them around with us is very deeply buried inside of our brains where it connects to the rational thinking part that says, ‘Hey, where did I put down that screwdriver a minute ago?’

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ΩΩMuch of the torment of Alzheimer’s disease is the loss of ‘short time memory’.  The constant feeling of being at sea all the time causes people with this terrible disease to lash out at everyone as they struggle to  deal with all the emotional hell of not knowing where that rock one chipped so carefully has fallen.

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ΩΩI harp on all of this because all economic news is also religious news for both are rooted right next to each other and sexual impulses in the exact same place in our brains. Not in our clever front parts but deep inside.  This is why all religions are funny due to never being able to practice what they preach and why all economics is really emotional, not rational.  And why people with lots of wealth or religious power are prey to sexual impulses of the darkest sort.

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ΩΩFor example, the Catholic Church or the Protestant witch hunters nearly exclusively used hyper-sexual torture methods on their victims which they accused of having sex with the devil!  The devil who had sex with these poor ‘witches’ were the Christians who were accusing them of having sex with the devil: that is, the Church torturers WERE the devils having sex!

Vatican Hit By Gay Sex Scandal

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ΩΩHAHAHA.  Jesus and his 12 male buddies are laughing somewhere.  If there ever was a great place to play with gay love while condemning women for having sex and then preventing them from using birth control, here is the place!

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ΩΩI would suggest the nature of the Cave of Wealth and Death leads many gay men to flock into say, the GOP or Vatican while at the same time making life hell for their own people who don’t live in these inner sanctums of hypocrisy.

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ΩΩThat is, they have enhanced sex fantasies by tormenting gays while being totally gay.  Look at the crazy Pope!  This man IS a gnome!  He lives in a palace.  He lectures us about poverty from the balcony of this palace.  He imagines he can do exorcisms but he looks and acts like a demon possessed old child!  I mean, if I was a child and met this man on the street my first thought would be, ‘Run away!  This guy is a sexual deviant!’  And people worship this gnome!

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ΩΩJust like the banking gnomes love to lecture us about the evils of socialism…why, you might go BANKRUPT!…while bankrupting us thanks to them creating too much money out of thin air, so it is with everything associated with this part of our brains.  The dark forces at work there are the roots of all hypocrisy and all dissociative thinking that constantly plagues all humans.  We can’t escape this.  This is also why we can’t see obvious impending dangers: we don’t WANT to see it. We want to sail along merrily doing naughty and dangerous things because we like doing this.  And we love any status quo no matter how stupid it is.

ΩΩAll empires have the exact same path of rise and fall.  This is why history is important: it lets us see exactly what will happen next.  All graphs of all bubbles are like the one above that I show here.  All of them have the same stubborn process so I will say definitively that this stubborn graph of the rise and bumpy fall of all systems, bubbles, empires, fashion fads, manias and human systems is a fundamental characteristic of all humans which evolved over time due to evolutionary pressures of the Great Climate Change Cycle which ushered in the Ice Age/Interglacial yo-yo cycles.

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ΩΩThe present hysteria about ‘climate change’ isn’t misplaced: we love status quo cycles and want them to be eternal but we are still in this unstable yo-yo system that began long before humans produced much of any CO2. I would also suggest that far from not knowing about the above graph that shows the boom/bust systems humans create, humans are exquisitely aware of this cycle system!  Which is why the doomsters always yell, ‘It is the end of the world’ every time we go in the down cycle of any system.  Note in the above graph and in ALL graphs charting ALL booms and busts of ANY fad, economy or system, do NOT show ANY stability at ALL.  The feeling that we are in a status quo stable system is an illusion.

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ΩΩNow, I am going to attack Dr. Niall Ferguson, the Black Swan Harvard professor.  He wrote a long and useless article that tries to explain why the collapse of various empires and bubbles can’t be seen.  He claims that we can’t see it because it is always caused by something small.  Therefore, it isn’t useful to probe too much into the underlying causes!  HUH?  Read him to see how much this guy is deluded by an inability to understand basic underlying systems.  He is all surface and can’t see the black swans paddling away in seas of red ink:

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America, the fragile empire – Los Angeles Times – Page 3

If empires are complex systems that sooner or later succumb to sudden and catastrophic malfunctions, what are the implications for the United States today? First, debating the stages of decline may be a waste of time — it is a precipitous and unexpected fall that should most concern policymakers and citizens. Second, most imperial falls are associated with fiscal crises. Alarm bells should therefore be ringing very loudly indeed as the United States contemplates a deficit for 2010 of more than $1.5 trillion — about 11% of GDP, the biggest since World War II.

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Understanding the underlying things is NOT a ‘waste of time’, it is literally life and death!  Once all the bad things are set in place, all it takes is one thing happening and bam!  It all collapses.  So do we ignore all the things going wrong and then try to prevent this one, little thing from happening?

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HAHAHA.  Talk about STOOOPID.  This man, by the way, is a very respected professor.  If I were in his class and he said this, we would instantly be engaged in a very vile debate leading to him throwing me out.  Well, this is a vile debate.  If idiots like him win it, we are doomed.  If I win it, we may be able to at least see a tiny bit of the Cave of Wealth and Death which is dark as night.

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These numbers are bad, but in the realm of political entities, the role of perception is just as crucial. In imperial crises, it is not the material underpinnings of power that really matter but expectations about future power. The fiscal numbers cited above cannot erode U.S. strength on their own, but they can work to weaken a long-assumed faith in the United States’ ability to weather any crisis…

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Expectations have nothing to do with this.  The material underpinnings of power are simple to discern: is an empire running in the red or in the green?  That is, are ALL systems running in deficits or is there some part that is profitable or balanced?  For example, China and Japan both have the world’s largest sovereign wealth funds as well as running trade surpluses.  Japan has very great public debt but has half of its systems running in the green so it is safe for the time being.  China is running in the green. China is, in reference to my cartoon above, on the ‘up’ slope of the rise and fall of great empires.

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Now, look at the US: ALL systems are running deep in the red.  Trade, government, tax, wars, all are losing or destroying or in the red.  On ALL fronts we are bleeding badly.  We still sail upon a vast sea of debt granted to us by rising empires….who are our rivals and who are working day and night to destroy our internal industrial base.  Joining them are all our elites who gain greatest wealth by cooperating with the Chinese 50 Year Plan to suck out all US industries.

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Anyone with half a brain can see this.  There is no mystery here.  And to sink the US ship, all someone has to do is punch a small hole in the hull.  Then, all the red ink pours into the ship, it ceases to sail and sinks exactly like the Titanic.  The sinking is quite swift. But avoiding the icebergs isn’t impossible!  This is why sailing swiftly into icebergs is stupid and should be avoided.


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….To understand complexity, it is helpful to examine how natural scientists use the concept. Think of the spontaneous organization of termites, which allows them to construct complex hills and nests, or the fractal geometry of water molecules as they form intricate snowflakes. Human intelligence itself is a complex system, a product of the interaction of billions of neurons in the central nervous system.

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Here he is talking about the Cave of Wealth and Death, the place where sex, religion and greed live in happy disharmony.  It is NOT ‘intelligence’….this is pure emotions.  Which is why poor Prof. Niall gets all tangled up in knots.  He first talks about how emotions cause a collapse of an empire due to people no longer having ‘FAITH’ in it…and then talks about how these emotional systems are ‘intellectual’.  They are NOT.  Not at all.

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As for fractals and geometry: it isn’t geometry at all, it is pure math.  That is, NOTHING runs to infinity, not even the universe.  All existing things INCLUDING mental cannot go to infinity.  Even if we imagine ‘infinity’ this is an illusion.  We really can’t do this EMOTIONALLY since infinity is death itself.  Any system of any sort that suddenly begins a steep incline towards infinity either blows up, collapses or dies.

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I believe the entire universe was born when a system of rationalism suddenly began to do impossible things having spend eternity doing all possible and improbable things with invisible numbers.  The collapse of this activity led to an explosion.  This is irrational, of course which delights me because the very Cave of Wealth and Death is based on lightning bolts shifting from positive to negative in an explosive flash.

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All these complex systems share certain characteristics. A small input to such a system can produce huge, often unanticipated changes — what scientists call “the amplifier effect.” Causal relationships are often nonlinear, which means that traditional methods of generalizing through observation are of little use. Thus, when things go wrong in a complex system, the scale of disruption is nearly impossible to anticipate….

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Hell’s bells, here it is again: all the economics professors have to pretend no one could anticipate the destruction of a collapse of out of balance systems!  I accurately called all the effects and foresaw them clearly and knew they were inevitable.  BUT HE IS WRONG about what causes them: we MUST figure this out!  It is life and death. Here is his stupid story:

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….Over the last three years, the complex system of the global economy flipped from boom to bust — all because a bunch of Americans started to default on their subprime mortgages, thereby blowing huge holes in the business models of thousands of highly leveraged financial institutions. The next phase of the current crisis may begin when the public begins to reassess the credibility of the radical monetary and fiscal steps that were taken in response.

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ARRRGH!  I want to bang my head.  Back in 2007, during the summer, I noted that the G7 was busy attacking China over currency issues and that Japan joined the US in this business even while Japanese business with China now equalled business with the US.  The Chinese dragon warned Japan about this.  Japan sneered back that in August, 2007, they would flood China with Japanese carry trade loans.

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China then said they would buy yen and hold them and thus make the yen stronger against the dollar!  I said, ‘Oh boy, that will kill the Japanese carry trade and the carry trade is where all the loans are coming from which fuels all the money markets!’  And sure enough, starting in August, 2007, the yen began to suddenly appreciate against the dollar going finally from 120 yen to the dollar to 84 yen to the dollar!

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The resets that this triggered led to credit vanishing ENTIRELY.  This is how dependent the US and the world was on the Japanese carry trade!!!  THIS IS VERY IMPORTANT  and is being nearly totally ignored by our darling professors who protect each other otherwise who would listen to any of them?  Silly homebuyers defaulting were the RESULT of this collapse in the Japanese carry trade, NOT the cause of the collapse that followed the halt in Japanese loans to international bankers.

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Neither interest rates at zero nor fiscal stimulus can achieve a sustainable recovery if people in the United States and abroad collectively decide, overnight, that such measures will ultimately lead to much higher inflation rates or outright default. Bond yields can shoot up if expectations change about future government solvency, intensifying an already bad fiscal crisis by driving up the cost of interest payments on new debt. Just ask Greece.

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No population gets to decide if there is inflation.  Inflation is NOT emotional, it is physical.  You print too much money, it degrades itself.  People HATE this.  I know not one soul who loves inflation of necessities.  I do know that everyone LOVES inflation in property they own!  So if your car or house becomes more valuable, you are happy.  If food or fuel goes up, you are unhappy.

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There is no such thing as ‘inflation’ or ‘deflation’ except as a model.  For there never is total inflation or deflation.  It is SELECTIVE.  When things are unbalanced the wrong things are deflated or inflated.  So we have property dropping in value while paying more for fuel: this causes tremendous distress.  The reverse is total happiness.

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Ask Russia too. Fighting a losing battle in the mountains of the Hindu Kush has long been a harbinger of imperial fall. What happened 20 years ago is a reminder that empires do not in fact appear, rise, reign, decline and fall according to some recurrent and predictable life cycle. It is historians who retrospectively portray the process of imperial dissolution as slow-acting. Rather, empires behave like all complex adaptive systems. They function in apparent equilibrium for some unknowable period. And then, quite abruptly, they collapse.

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ΩΩThe minute the Japanese carry trade ceased pumping red ink into the US imperial system, we began to see the outlines of the underlying sea bed because our damn ship sank!  It is STILL SINKING.  Spending more money isn’t fixing the sea of red ink.  Note the illustration above: one side of the graph is green with blue skies. The other is red ink and no green grass growing!  When we notice what was already going on, this was due to conditions changing.

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ΩΩMisspending on religious wars is the worst thing an empire can do when it is sailing on a sea of red ink.  The sea of red ink is often a sea of human blood for all flailing empires do the same exact thing: kill lots of people while struggling to stay afloat!  The US economy now runs nearly entirely on the military/industrial complex. This is why idiots tell each other, ‘We still have production in the US.  We still manufacture things’.  Well, we aren’t allowed to offshore all our military production so it is still here but it is also a major, major contributor to the sea of red ink upon which we are trying to sail.

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ΩΩThe inability of the public to pay simple loans is merely a hole in this ship of state that shouldn’t be sailing on a sea of red ink while the bottom is dropping drastically. Another metaphor that is useful here: the more we sail outwards in this sea of red ink, the deeper the ocean of red ink becomes, the more deadly our sinking will be for we won’t survive!

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ΩΩThe sooner we turn around and go to shore, the shallower the waters!  We might swim ashore.  The Chinese pray that we continue to sail onwards and sink and never rise again!  Indeed, the US neocons hope the same thing for Russia!  Duh!

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35 Comments

Filed under .money matters, Politics, religion, war and peace

35 responses to “Black Swans And The Collapse Of Empires Swimming In Debt

  1. DrKrbyLuv

    Loved the Pope art!

  2. JT

    A big leap upwards yesterday in Arctic sea ice.
    chart:
    http://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/images/daily_images/N_stddev_timeseries.png
    image:

    Baltic:

    Eeek. We´re all going to die of heat exhaustion.

  3. Sky

    11, 000 rooms in the Vatican ?

    Snippets :

    ” Every once in a while a Pope emerges whose conscience is bothered by the extravagance of his church’s wealth. One such Pope was John Paul the First , who once revealed in a public audience in 1978 :

    ‘ ….this morning I flushed my toilet with a solid gold lever edged with diamonds and at this very moment , bishops and cardinals are using a bathroom on the second floor of the papal palace which trappings I am told, would draw more than fifty million dollars at auction.’

    In his first executive action, he ordered a complete review of the Church’s finances including a tally of all its worldwide liquid assets. In fact John Paul, who had a background in finance, participated in the internal audit of the Vatican Bank himself…..( he ) could not bring himself to accept the immense wealth of the Church and that he, as its leader would live in luxury surrounded by priceless art and architecture and jewels and gold and feather pillows, while children in Africa and other parts of the world were literally starving to death. And it anguished him much that it was the Church’s position on birth control that was the reason why they were starving to death. ”
    ********************************

    John Paul I , was a healthy 65 year old when he became Pope. He sought to reform the Catholic Church. He lasted 33 days before he met his ‘ mysterious’ death.

    Within a year, a dozen of his reformist Cardinals also bit the dust.

    http://www.liberalslikechrist.org/Catholic/Vaticanpalace.html

    http://www.catholicarrogance.org/Catholic/1stJohnPaul.html

    The site , Catholic Arrogance ,is run by a former priest. If you follow the internal links in the articles on the main site, you could spend the rest of your life reading about the crimes of the Catholic Church.

    Elaine thinks her picture looks like a gnome.Hmmm? Yes. But make that a psychopathic gnome please.

  4. B.A.

    This is quite remarkable, a Harvard professor, no less. I remember the entries on this blog for the summer of ’07 and thinking how I wished I had some money to gamble, because NOBODY was predicting the consequences of what the Chinese had set in motion and Elaine was reporting and predicting. Such easy money…
    They are clueless but they know one thing: they might be held accountable any time soon and since they have all the power, there’s no one they can blame ( except the poor: you see, the mighty global financial system was brought to its knees by a bunch of homeless bums who got a mortgage without any credit check and then…they could not make payments!). So basically it’s not our fault: it’s all systemic, chaos, fuzzy logic, quantum, undetermined, what have you. Just don’t blame the Masters of the Universe. But please do continue giving us credit for when things go well, though.

  5. Aussie

    Elaine,

    The feeling that we are in a status quo stable system is an illusion.
    Your comment is so profound and fundamental to everything you have described.

    All sharemarkets, the US Empire, climates, eco-systems and earthquakes etc are dissipative near equilibrium system with complex feedback mechanisms.
    This means changes create dynamic equilibrium and stresses can build up to destabilize inducing a phase change to reach a lower or higher equilibrium.

    At some point systemic stresses build up causing volatility indicating a state of instability where the “the last straw breaks the camel back” causes instant phase change.
    Therefore, you can sense the prospect of phase change when you know where to look and think systems

    Therefore, your comments about infinity are also correct because the near equilibrium system need constant inputs to exist.
    No inputs means collapse and infinite input (does not exist) means infinite existence and scale.

    Your cave of death is a system or mental model because you perceive it and there cognitively exists. When you (god forbid) die the cave of death dies as well.

    Initial conditions of a clean break with European social and intellectual baggage and a new rich continent (virtue of Indian genocide) etc created a new society. This society grew because there were no “old world barriers” and the individualism mindset looked to the future and expanded by exploiting the naturally rich environment. The US became a global empire and there were no more empty “frontiers” to exploit and the politico-socio-economic system reached stassis then started to eat its young.

    US Empire’s ability to exploit global resources where further constrained when newly liberated colonies India, China, Japan, Brazil etc modernized.

    So everything is interconnected in a system.

    That is why excesses are so dangerous and opposites are symmetry in the cave of death.

  6. isha

    Neither interest rates at zero nor fiscal stimulus can achieve a sustainable recovery if people in the United States and abroad collectively decide, overnight, that such measures will ultimately lead to much higher inflation rates or outright default.
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    … collectively decide… Hahaha!!!???

    How does gravity work? By witchcraft? the apple falls down from the tree because the witches in the next villages ” collectively decided” that it is the season to havest?

    I can’t believe this guy is stupid, it is just thinking out of his bottom, not out of his head.

    I have been following this guy for a while. It is a smart guy, he just benefited heavily from the current system, from the empire and he decided long ago that the empire is to his benefit …

    therefore, he will create all kinds of theories to prolong it …

  7. isha

    just take a look at this guy’s publication!!!!( I happen to write a few of them )

    He is IN THE KNOW …

    HE IS A PLANNER, APPARANTLY…

    EMPIRE HAS ITS OWN INTEREST, AND THE OWNER OF THE EMPIRE HAS ITS OWN INTEREST, AND HE IS WORKING FOR HIS BEST INTEREST…

    BELIEVE IT OR NOT, HE don’t believe americans won the war of independence… HE STILL THINK HE AND HIS GROUP ARE THE OWNER …
    ———–
    Publications
    This list is incomplete; you can help by expanding it.
    Ferguson, Niall (2008). The Ascent of Money: A Financial History of the World. London: Allen Lane. ISBN 978-1846141065.
    Ferguson, Niall (2006). The War of the World: History’s Age of Hatred. London: Allen Lane. ISBN 0-7139-9708-7. (also a Channel 4 series[51])
    Ferguson, Niall (2003). Empire: The Rise and Demise of the British World Order and the Lessons for Global Power. New York: Basic Books. ISBN 0-465-02328-2.
    Ferguson, Niall (2005). 1914. Pocket Penguins 70s S.. London, England: Penguin Books Ltd. ISBN 0-14-102220-5.
    Ferguson, Niall (2004). Colossus: The Rise And Fall Of The American Empire. Gardners Books. ISBN 0-7139-9770-2.
    Ferguson, Niall (2003). Empire: How Britain Made the Modern World. London: Allen Lane. ISBN 0-7139-9615-3.
    Ferguson, Niall (2001). The Cash Nexus: Money and Power in the Modern World, 1700-2000. London: Allen Lane. ISBN 0-7139-9465-7.
    Ferguson, Niall (1999) [1997]. Virtual History: Alternatives and Counterfactuals. New York: Basic Books. ISBN 0-465-02322-3.
    Ferguson, Niall (1999) [1998]. The Pity of War. New York: Basic Books. ISBN 0-465-05711-X.
    Ferguson, Niall (1999). The House of Rothschild: The World’s Banker, 1849–1999. New York, N.Y.: Viking. ISBN 0-670-88794-3.
    Ferguson, Niall (1998). The World’s Banker: The History of the House of Rothschild. London: Weidenfeld & Nicolson. ISBN 0-297-81539-3.
    Ferguson, Niall (1998). The House of Rothschild. New York, N.Y.: Viking. ISBN 0-670-85768-8.
    Ferguson, Niall (1995). Paper and Iron: Hamburg Business and German Politics in the Era of Inflation, 1897–1927. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press. ISBN 0-521-47016-1.
    ============================

    BYW,Angela:

    GOOD POINT…

    JUST THAT THE EMPIRE ISN’T USA ( IF YOU MEAN THE REPUBLIC ) …

  8. isha

    He just don’t the a good reason to speak his mind when he is writing this article:
    He faked it … (just read his books and you will have sense of where is his real loyalty resides )

  9. isha

    read his article I can see that he is playing the demigod to himself. He seriously believe that his reading audience has a collective IQ 100 point blow his. He might seriously believe that he and his belong to another higher species and he can play the sucker out of us all.

    His whole point is like this:

    The whole crisis is nothing but a force of nature and there is nothing you can do about it since there is nothing you can do about it and anyway, you are too stupid to know so NOBODY should be responsible for the consequences … just be happy when you are been fleeced since you should thank your lucky star that you are still alive.

  10. isha

    “Rather, empires behave like all complex adaptive systems. They function in apparent equilibrium for some unknowable period. And then, quite abruptly, they collapse.

    Washington, you have been warned.

    Niall Ferguson is a professor at Harvard University and Harvard Business School, and a fellow of Jesus College, Oxford. His latest book is “The Ascent of Money: A Financial History of the World.” A longer version of this essay appears in the March/April issue of Foreign Affairs.”
    =============================

    Empires come and empires go, but the InteresTs of the London City is forever, right? Mr. Spreak of the City?!

  11. emsnews

    An army of commentators have worked day and night to convince us no one could have foreseen what would happen. On top of this, they also tell us, IT DOESN’T MATTER what caused this mess. And worse, they tell us, all we need is to make lots of paper money and it will all be fixed.

    These are all lies.

  12. ”I believe the entire universe was born when a system of rationalism suddenly began to do impossible things having spend eternity doing all possible and improbable things with invisible numbers. The collapse of this activity led to an explosion”

    I have often thought you would be a person with interesting views on this subjectand that our subconcious might contain some clues since we are made of the same stuff. But now you have some splain’n to do. You claim there is no such thing as infinity but there it is ,an infinite past. Just what or whom was doing this activity.
    Now if supermassive black hole with the mass of the universe collapsed…

  13. emsnews

    Infinity is OUTSIDE of the ‘universe’ which happens to be limited in size. The Universe is all things contained in the space/time continuum of the Big Bang.

  14. well thats convienient, reduces the problem a bit. It also eliminates consideration of something outside that ‘miniverse’ that might have a bearing on how the thing works. This is one on the things that does make me question the worth of scientists. Perhaps my view of physics is not up to date though.

  15. nah

    the government knows in its ‘heart of hearts’ that the real money blood sweat and tears is bankrolled by the greater public… only its getting to the point they need to give all their buds fat paydays to ensure the corse of trickle down macronomics…
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    see the world is become enormously good at producing goods… yet enormously poor at bookeeping
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    so now the vagueries of economic asumptions for positive credit alone must save us from cold hard cash before all anyone has left is bills n’ more bills
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    the more i eat pickles the more i like em’

  16. K-Bo

    Now for some conspiratorial thinking:

    Regarding Nial Ferguson, take a look at last year’s Bilderberg attendance and guess who’s “in” on things:

    http://www.infowars.com/bilderberg-2009-attendee-list/

    Was all this economic failure “planned”? Bob Chapman seems to think so, by the international bankers / corporations / New World Order / Illuminati conspiracy. Read his interesting newsletters if you’d like a scare, and find out who might be pulling the strings and why:

    http://www.theinternationalforecaster.com

    According to him, they’ll be taking down all systems to install the one-world government to rule over all (heh, to be ruled by the AntiChrist?).

    Regarding the Vatican stuff and the NWO, Satanism, Communism, Freemasons, and other interesting things there and elsewhere throughout the world, I highly recommend Malachi Martin’s books “Keys of This Blood” and “Windswept House.” Extremely enlightening as to what’s going on / what happened with the Church c. 1957 – 1994. Unfortunately he died somewhat mysteriously in 1999 while writing “Primacy: How the Institutional Roman Catholic Church became a Creature of the New World Order,” so it’s hard to know who’s who today. I’m sure the same forces are at work. Martin says there is some Satanic homosexuality and pedophilia.

    It may have been he who claimed John Paul I was murdered by the Mason Vatican Secretary of State Cardinal Villot after *33* days in office. Malachi was an insider that knew a lot. Others claim he had too active an imagination.

    It’s always hard to tell what’s a real conspiracy and what people just want to believe. Certain coincidences are hard to ignore, but it’s always best to consider multiple angles and possibilities before making up one’s mind.

  17. Joseppi

    Is not our attributing power to Black Swans and myths because of the inability of human perception to fully grasp complex kinetic relationships, let alone infinity?

    If the Japanese carry trade collapsed the credit markets in the US, will we not collapse the real estate bubble in China with the present dollar carry trade?

    Having been a child conditioned by Catholicism, as an ex-Catholic cultist I find it mind boggling that there are actually practicing Catholics with such fallible Popes and pedophilia addicted priests in this day and age.
    For chrissakes, what hypnotic mind altering drugs do they put in their sacramental eucharists?

    ΩΩΩΩΩΩΩΩΩΩΩΩ

    ELAINE: LSD, of course. 🙂

  18. Colin

    “I am going to attack Dr. Niall Ferguson”

    Please do, i have so long loathed that man, eversince he wrote that obnoxious book about the first world war in which he argued that it would have been better for the world if the Germany had wone! Wilhelm taken over europe and extinguished democracy once and for all, though he seemed to think that the triumph of a dictator over democratic france and england would have helped democracy in some unexplained way. Because Ferguson reasoned then europe would have been ‘spared’ the ‘mixing of races’. (‘Mixing races’ in his view causes wars, so he advocates a world war to prevent the wars that mixing races might cause, see if you can follow that logic.)

    It gets even funnier, he then when on to claim in the last chapter of the book that everyone who dissagreed with him was gay. (remeber this was written by a harvard proffessor not a fourteen year old) Apparently, because only gay people are intrested in ‘mixing races’. (i would have thought mixing races was physically impossible for gay people – technically they cant ‘mix’ anything) But the funney bit is that, he reciently did a tv serise about the financial crisis; and he spent half the god dam thing wandering arround an art gallery staring at butt naked men in renaissance paintings, and refering to their ‘beautiful bodies’. I cried with laughter; as C.S. Lewis used to say ‘some people are so far back in the closet they’re in narnia’.

  19. emsnews

    You are so very right, Angela.

  20. K-Bo

    Angela, the sexual abuse scandal in the Catholic Church is disgusting, to be sure. Anyone who abuses innocent children or covers it up is sick and evil.

    Father Malachi Martin talks about how the Church has enemies within the Church, and how the Church (especially the Pope as moral leader of 1 billion people and the head of the institution Jesus Christ founded on earth) stands in the way of certain groups of people who hope to dominate the world. He talks about how JPII was rendered somewhat inert by his controllers within the Church, and how upsetting it is that some of these issues of homosexuality and pederasty amongst the clergy (amongst a slew of others) were not dealt with properly. I mean I don’t believe everything I read and hear, but who knew that Cardinal Joseph Bernardin in Chicago was a Satanist, homosexual, and ritualistically abused a young girl in the 1960s? Or that a priest that was murdered in Chicago in 1984 was about to unveil a Satanic pederasty ring (The Boys’ Club), before he was stabbed 47 times (his age) for leaving the coven?

    I understand your distinction between malicious and willful abuse of the innocent and consensual homosexual behavior, and agree it’s important. Both, by the way stem from unconscious impulses, and it’s what you do with the impulses that matters. One could argue that homosexual behavior isn’t in itself bad. I haven’t made up my mind yet on that topic, but am inclined to believe that the only “good” sex is that which exists in marriage and leads to the possibility of procreation. Hah, so there are many sinners in the world! It’s too bad Jesus didn’t talk much about sexuality (except for the adultery is in the mind reference of yours above), and not much is known about Jesus’ own or his disciples’ sex lives. All we have is the non-written tradition which says Jesus was a single man without any offspring, presumably asexual, and that some of his followers were married men who left their families to follow him.

    I’m sorry, but nowhere does the Church say homosexuals should be rounded up or treated any less than others or are loved any less by God.

    So yes, there are homosexuals and pederasts in the world, and some of them are in the Church. This doesn’t prove the Church is bad (and I’m not saying homosexuality is definitely bad), only that it has been infiltrated by some bad people who do not do God’s will. The real evil is that so many fall away from God because of the actions of a few bad clergy.

    My issue with Elaine being “troubled” refers to her strong dislike approaching hatred of Christianity, of God, Jesus, The Holy Spirit, Mary, the Pope, and the Church, and her numerous statements to that effect, coupled with her “talking to demons” who show her visions and make her do things and the like. I worry about her. But I realize people are free to believe and feel and do whatever they want, and I try to be open to other points of view, if they make sense and contain some truth.

    So there ya go. Seemed like you were asking for my take on the Catholic Church and Elaine. Peace to all.

  21. Angela

    Oy, Kay-Bo, we disagree on many things.
    By covering up homosexual and pedophile priests in their church, they obscure the truth and as a result, non-criminal homosexuals who do not abuse children are reviled around the world. All the while, providing cover for criminals!

    I’ve been married to the same man for over 30 years. We have two couples who are dear friends that we have known since (catholic) college, who have been together for the duration and they are like brothers to us.

    For them, and for numerous other very close friends and a loved cousin, I cringe and inwardly rage at the thought that their love for one another is quickly and solely judged on their sexuality- which I don’t think at all reflects unconscious impulses any more than mine does after all these years.
    WHO CARES (and why care) how they choose to have sex- whose family are they a threat to??! My own family is richer and blessed to have had them in our lives for 30 years and no one will ever convince me that they or their sexual behavior is evil when I have experienced their virtues and goodness for decades!
    There are countless supposed occasions of sin, this obsessive focus on women’s and gay sexuality is yet another foil for the very blackest “milkbottles” (an image in the 1960’s catechism)- privileging an elect few to get away with murder, destruction and economic mayhem. Eve made them hoard all of that gold?? What contemptible BS.

    I’m not directing this at you personally, just this whole game is SO selective, ignoring huge ethical and moral wrongs.

    The church has made the claim that their hole-y doctrine is not incompatible with science, in which case they might examine scientific evidence of homosexual behavior in many species- part and parcel of the design of nature. I have no objection to gay priests, just not in an institution that preaches the opposite. The Episcopalians, for instance, are no longer hypocrites on this matter.
    It’s the exploitation of children and the malignant will to power and to destroy that is abhorrent to me, all the while hiding and covering it up like true cowards, afraid of the righteous rage that would ensue and insure the exact persecution that they are all too happy to dish out.

    Fr. Malachi’s sordid tales, along with Vatican exorcist stories, make me insane. What a perfect cover for all kinds of economic and moral skull-duggery, to leak these stories all the while continuing to amass followers praying humbly on their knees and donating millions to drive Satan out of the Vatican. Who protects these priests involved in these scandals until after they are dead or too hot to handle from the pressure to address it?!!
    If there’s a Satan in the Vatican and is to be blamed for all of these activities, he’s a welcome and pampered Guest of Honor with a lifelong invitation to stay- this has been going on for centuries- they aren’t trying to drag his tired old butt out and it’s doubtless they ever were. He’s their Development Director. And there ARE good priests, but if they were truly good, they’d walk out instead of colluding. I know a few who did, nuns too.

    Elaine, in all of her occasional crankiness, demonstrates more of the Christian ideal that I learned than the entire lot of them, from what I can see. How can you still trust them to determine what and who is a “demon”?? I cannot.

  22. emsnews

    Why on earth do all these ‘gods’ give a hoot about animals having natural sex??? Homosexuality is totally natural, for example. Mother Nature dictates that all living things that don’t reproduce via other methods must do it via the revolutionary way of having sex. Sex was an accidental mutation that greatly increased genetic diversity. Germs don’t have sex.

    Now, the very interesting question here is, the only creatures on earth that would find sex disgusting are…..GERMS. Now, the disposition of these queer gods is….sex is icky. Draw your own conclusions here.

  23. justiceatsqualor

    In addition to rapid division and mutation, many germs and other single-cell organisms use conjugation (sex?) as one way to try to keep up with the faster evolutionary pace of sexual reproduction in multicellular organisms.

  24. K-Bo

    “By covering up homosexual and pedophile priests in their church, they obscure the truth and as a result, non-criminal homosexuals who do not abuse children are reviled around the world.”

    Sorry, I don’t see the connection. People revile gays because of a few gay and pedophile priests? I haven’t seen that at all. It’s like Elaine blaming the Church for people having “unwanted” babies. Why does everyone want to blame the Church for everything?

    People who revile gays probably pick on them because they are different than most or learned it from their parents or friends, not because they think their behavior is sinful because some Church told them it is so. There are many non-religious people that revile gays, too, out of a sense that it is un-natural, and not because a Church told them so. Elaine, the Church and God don’t say “sex is icky.” They say that sex is a gift from God that should be shared between committed couples that are open to the possibility of co-creating life.

    I really am not one to judge anyone for anything, especially not one’s sex life. However, one is justified in looking at the results of behavior, and then judging whether the results are good or bad. Are womanizing and polygamy good? I guess it depends on the woman’s expectations and whether or not the children are brought up in a loving household. What about pornography, prostitution, and sexual promiscuity? Is homosexuality bad? If nobody is hurt, then it’s hard to say it’s bad, I agree.

    Should there be no moral authority trying to tell people what is good – like what is the “proper” role of human sexuality? It seems like that’s what all the anti-Church people want, the freedom to do whatever one wants without condemnation or judgment.

    If you have no faith in the Church because of a few bad priests, that’s your choice. Despite the presence of evil and human weakness within it, I believe the Church is divinely inspired to promote God’s will and to eventually develop mankind into the loving society of creatures God created us to be. Maybe I’m naive. I think it’s awfully cynical to think the opposite, that the Church exists only to exploit people, but I can agree that all humans and all human institutions are corruptible.

    So the choice of good priests or religious persons called to vocation (and to all who may want to be part of a Church) is to abandon their faith and their calling because some of their colleagues / clergy are sinners, or to be part of a flawed institution and try to fix things from within, to be a good person regardless and an example to others. You really think everyone should abandon God’s Church because of a few bad apples? I guess we shouldn’t have any government then, either, because most of them are corrupt (a much higher percentage than those in the Church). If we condemned and abandoned everything that contains some corruption, we’d have no human institutions whatsoever!

  25. K-Bo

    Yes, Angela, we are on different wavelengths, so to speak.

    JFK was killed nearly a decade before I was born (and 2.5 years after he gave the speech), but I have read the speech, yes. I agree with this interpretation of it: “When read in its entirety, the speech is obviously not about the evils of secrecy. In fact, it is a request to the media to practice discretion (secrecy) in their reporting on matters which could affect national security. It is also clear that the “conspiracy” JFK is talking about is communism.”

    “any hope of the possibility of moral authority has been exhausted” Why?

    Which Church leaders show “cold malevolance” and hatred? Surely you don’t believe someone like Karol Wojtyla / JPII or Mother Theresa had an ounce of hatred towards anybody? Please.

    “makes these people into gods” – which people? You’re speaking in secrets!

    You’re saying that Father Malachi Martin, a man who left the Vatican scene because he didn’t like what he saw, a “good priest” in your words, a man revealing secrets and speaking the truth is part of a conspiracy to keep secrets, conceal the truth, and exploit a bunch of suckers who are stupid enough to belong to a Church? Come on.

    “Vampires and parasites feed on others and thrive in darkness.” Agreed. That’s why we all need to educate ourselves about what’s really happening in our world, and to shine a light on the darkness. At the same time, we shouldn’t be overcome with cynicism, and think everyone and everything is bad, or think there is no hope, or feel there is no saving grace.

  26. emsnews

    Both Dorothy Day and Jesus were communists. And the Church has this thing left over from the communist roots at the beginning called ‘COMMUNION.’ *ahem*

  27. K-Bo

    Thanks, Angela, but you don’t need to apologize for anything. It’s good to have your faith challenged every now and then. I’m just trying to understand your point of view and point out when I disagree. No harm done, nor intended.

    I saw your post the other day about communitarianism, and I’ve never even heard the term before. Now you link to an anti-communitarianist blogger. Jeez, you have lots of boogey-men to watch out for! “We are all insects.” Wow. You need to empower yourself (I hope you don’t mind me saying and noting your extreme cynicism). All these global movements to watch out for…. Communitarianism

    http://www.gwu.edu/~icps/About%20Com2.html

    Communitarianism seems to be a economic-political philosophy, with its modern form begun by one Dr. Amitai Etzioni. He is supposed to be a lead architect of the NWO.

    http://nord.twu.net/acl/etzioni.html

    What role does the Vatican have in this movement? Good question, and I have some new reading assignments to find out. I really don’t know that much about Catholic social and economic teaching and how it relates to various philosophies. You say Pope John Paul VI endorsed this movement, but there is no JP VI. Maybe you mean Paul VI or JP I or JP II? The blogger asks why Malachi Martin didn’t talk about Communitarianism. Maybe he didn’t know that much about it because of it’s emergence in the early 1990s, maybe he died while writing his latest book about it, and maybe the Masonic-Luciferian-Marxists within the Church are part of this Communitarianism movement, whatever it is. Why are you so worried about this movement / philosophy? Sounds like just the latest form of collectivism in the world.

  28. Angela

    K-Bo,
    It’s not bogey men whatsoever that I am commenting on and I’m not worrying.

    While we were all looking elsewhere, at stupid bread and circuses or serving as useful idiots in one or another of the “natural aristocracts” numerous dialectical poles of idealology, our most charismatic president Clinton snuck in a new, unconstitutional police force. That’s the new synthesis.
    And no one has heard of Communitarianism because one lone woman has been pooling data for 10 years to figure out how the power to enter one’s home without a search warrant for the purpose of community “data gathering” came about.

    And its not a new form of government at all, its fascism. For those of us who refuse to “evolve” (doublespeak for obey), we will be destroyed for merely our opposition.
    >>So how is it possible that the whole “Idea” just popped into Etzioni’s head in 1990 if thirty years earlier, Arthur Schlesinger Jr. was talking about communitarianism in his review of the New Deal Community Program? Beran’s article continues:

    “Americans, with their democratic traditions, have an aversion to the word “aristocracy,” but not to the idea of it, which, in its most innocent and natural form, merely acknowledges what everyone knows to be true–that in any one of the various departments of life, some people are vastly superior to others.”I suspect that many voters might even be persuaded to distinguish between aristocracy’s more- and less-salubrious forms. Of the two competing patrician philosophies on the hustings this year, one of them, McCain’s, represents the aristocratic ideal in its prime, when the knight aspired to fight the good fight. The other, Obama’s, represents the patrician ideal in its decadence, when the novice qualifies for the exercise of public power by dreaming the good communitarian dream.”

    Meaning, that there is no more Democratic or Republic party, the Catholic Church (really all religions) has officially recognized that all souls are very unequal, making every bit of the doctrine horseshit,
    and there’s been very little mention of Communitarianism in any party rhetoric.

    But get used to it- it is the synthesis- we’re all just one big happy family under “aristocratic” rulers with unprecedented police powers masquerading as freedom.
    For this, we wave our flag and rally the troops to go kill Afghani teenagers.

    Sorry about the mistake in Pope numbers, but if you actually read the article you would have immediately known who I was talking about.

  29. K-Bo

    Angela, I did read your link, and have read a lot about Communitarianism since. I must say, it is interesting. I’m not one that tends to stay awake at night worrying about loss of my freedom, but it’s good to watch out for it and learn about it from another tent lady (like Elaine), Ms. Raapana.

    “Ask your priest why you had to hear on the internet all about the true meaning of Trancendence.” Hah. So it seems like you are a transhumanist – “you shall be as gods.” I don’t want to be a god, thanks. Look at what happened to Adam when he listened to the serpent via Eve and ate the apple.

  30. K-Bo

    “the Catholic Church (really all religions) has officially recognized that all souls are very unequal” How so? I’m pretty sure the Catholic Church teaches that God loves all souls equally, wants them to love Him back, and wants them to be reunited with Him in Heaven, if they choose it.

    Come to think of it, you’re right – I think we have had discussions before here on Elaine’s wonderful economic blog. It’s always interesting.

    ΩΩΩΩΩΩΩΩΩΩΩΩ

    ELAINE; I know no Christian on earth who believes god loves everyone equally. That is, each stupid god has all sorts of rules and regulations that exclude ALL other permutations of godliness so all these competing gods HATE everyone but a very restrictive circle of toadies who praise these cruel gods who send all variants to hell forever.

    HAHAHA. See my point? There are a million heavens and the people there live in hate and fear of all the other heavens and these heavens happen to be located in a place called hell.

  31. emsnews

    Jerusalem was seen, even in the older Bible stories, as a horrible place, the locus of wars and massacres. King David had to stop the Angel of Death on the threshing floor of the Rock and he renamed the city as the city of peace which did absolutely nothing about it being the locus of war, perfidy and massacres in the future.

    It is one of the paradoxes of the Outer Darkness.

  32. Pingback: The Inevitable Black Swan Stock Market Failure « Culture of Life News

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