The supercomputers that make predictions about the weather are now shown decisively to be way off. This is due to the classic ‘information in/information wrong’ output due to putting in the wrong data. Since ‘climatologists’ have collectively decided sun spot activity is a null factor, they made predictions based on a much more active sun than we have today. Astronomers are beginning—FINALLY—to strike back but my father was the very first to say that we are going into a long cooling cycle based on his data about the interior of the sun. I still am very pissed his paper, ‘The Sun Is A Variable Star’ was denied publishing due to it debunking the global warming cabal’s theories.
It wasn’t just that he went counter to their systems, they didn’t want a DEBATE about this. I, too, used to fret about global warming until I saw my dad’s data. I then instantly changed position due to trusting his information. I could see the consequences immediately. I assumed the active sun would continue this way. When combined with CO2 rises, this would affect the climate. But I really fear the extreme cold because I live where mile thick glaciers once crushed everything.
The pause – which has now been accepted as real by every major climate research centre – is important, because the models’ predictions of ever-increasing global temperatures have made many of the world’s economies divert billions of pounds into ‘green’ measures to counter climate change…
Only six years ago, the BBC reported that the Arctic would be ice-free in summer by 2013, citing a scientist in the US who claimed this was a ‘conservative’ forecast. Perhaps it was their confidence that led more than 20 yachts to try to sail the Northwest Passage from the Atlantic to the Pacific this summer. As of last week, all these vessels were stuck in the ice, some at the eastern end of the passage in Prince Regent Inlet, others further west at Cape Bathurst.
Shipping experts said the only way these vessels were likely to be freed was by the icebreakers of the Canadian coastguard. According to the official Canadian government website, the Northwest Passage has remained ice-bound and impassable all summer.
That is too funny! To show us how we are all going to roast to death, those poor people sailed merrily into a major freeze. Now, their puny ships will probably be crushed by the relentless ice and if the sailors aren’t rescued, they will become polar bear dinner. Of course, they will be rescued at public expense! Relying on computers to see into the future is most dangerous. This is due to the salient fact, if you leave out important data, the further forward your projections based on erroneous data, the greater the flaws, the worse the predictions.
Here is a graph showing how the ice extent dropped for two decades during the active solar years and now it has changed direction. Arctic Sea-Ice Monitor
Like the Syria gas attack business, there is much hysteria surrounding the weather data story. Here is the 2007 story: BBC NEWS | Science/Nature | Arctic summers ice-free ‘by 2013’
Using supercomputers to crunch through possible future outcomes has become a standard part of climate science in recent years.
Professor Maslowski’s group, which includes co-workers at Nasa and the Institute of Oceanology, Polish Academy of Sciences (PAS), is well known for producing modelled dates that are in advance of other teams.
These other teams have variously produced dates for an open summer ocean that, broadly speaking, go out from about 2040 to 2100.
But the Monterey researcher believes these models have seriously underestimated some key melting processes. In particular, Professor Maslowski is adamant that models need to incorporate more realistic representations of the way warm water is moving into the Arctic basin from the Pacific and Atlantic oceans…
“We use a high-resolution regional model for the Arctic Ocean and sea ice forced with realistic atmospheric data. This way, we get much more realistic forcing, from above by the atmosphere and from the bottom by the ocean.”
Video of a 2008 NASA video saying we are at a ‘tipping point’ and gone too far too warm so we are all going to roast to death: NASA: Arctic Ocean Could be Mostly Ice Free in 2013 – YouTube. It is rather sad, watching it. Many nature shows made in the last decade would go on and on and on about how the nature we are seeing is vanishing due to it being hotter and hotter.
Nature IS vanishing but this is mainly due to humans killing it off in other ways. For example, UK weather: Jellyfish numbers on the rise after heatwave—globally, they are on the rise but not because of heat waves. Yes, the numbers do go up in summer, but the #1 cause of this rise in numbers is simple. We are killing off all the predators of infant jellyfish! Normally, other sea creatures feast on the embryos produced by mating jellyfish. They suck these down in huge numbers and normally less than 10% survive to become adult jellyfish.
But due to overfishing the oceans, this leads to a rise in survivors. If just 25% of these embryos survive, the population will double three times faster. Just as vaccinations dropped the infant death rate to less than 10%, this led to a global human population boom.
Back to global warming: haughty believers in this theory have constantly claimed that any cold weather was ‘weather’ while any warm weather is ‘climate’. Well, the climate is definitely colder now. We had a very cold spring, a summer with only occasional summer spells, it was mostly cool, and now fall has come several weeks earlier than usual. This isn’t mere weather. It is a shift in the climate and the driver of this is the sun.
The sun causes the el Nino and la Nina events: NOAA El Niño: Research, Forecasts and Observations
Here is how the global warming ideology is driving climatologists to make ridiculous predictions: Climate Prediction Center – Seasonal Color Maps
Here is the prediction for September, this month:
Note how these guys claim the NE USA will be SUPER WARM! Wow. It is right now, consistently 10+ degrees F cooler than normal. Upstate NY has seen several freezes already. My trees are turning their leaves faster and faster and is dropping them in anticipation of an early snow. It will be near freezing again tonight on my mountain. I already took in all the potted plants that can’t take cold temperatures. This is October weather.
The inability to predict the weather is a very serious flaw for climatologists. People depend on them to plan ahead and when the predictions are totally at odds with reality, it is time to examine how they make these predictions. The claims that the ocean is now suddenly soaking up the ‘extra heat’ is a con. The data shows that the oceans are not heating up, the cold/warm cycle offshore of South America in the Pacific has been stuck in ‘cold’ gear for quite a while. The expected el Nino event never came.
A couple of tropical depressions this last several days all vanished without turning into tropical storms, much less, hurricanes. There is another one forming off of the coast of Africa which the NOAA people predict has a 90% chance of becoming a tropical storm but I saw all previous predictions collapse this summer and expect this one to not make it past the outermost Caribbean islands, too.
There usually is a chain of storms rolling westwards from Africa. This year, it is stopped by dry air so the storms that gather strength fall apart rapidly when they enter this zone. So I doubt this present tropical low off of Africa will become a full hurricane.
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