Rapidly Dying El Nino Bringing Big La Nina Cold Cycle Next

Screen shot 2016-03-18 at 7.16.20 AM Screen shot 2016-03-22 at 9.11.02 PM

The two above graphs show this last el Nino event.  Over a year ago, we had this mini-me el Nino moment which then ended timidly but then in February, it took off rapidly and reached its highest point last April, cooled down a tad until August when it rose even higher with a third peak which was slightly higher in November.  Then, as I noted here earlier, it fell rapidly with a small spike during January and ending in February and now it is collapsing rapidly into the cool zone this month of March.  Just as this el Nino caused a small spike in belief in global warming, the impending, most likely very strong la Nina event this next winter will cause belief in global warming to fall again.

 

Our rulers are very, very anxious to impose taxes on all this before it cools down again.  Their desire for this is being swamped now in Europe due to Muslim terrorist attacks which are focusing many on other problems, not ‘warming’.  Below are two screen shots of the planet showing warm versus cold water and ice.  The top picture is today, with very cold water surrounding Antarctica which is seeing increasing ice as well as two very cold wells of water off of Alaska/Siberia and Greenland/Europe.

Screen shot 2016-03-18 at 7.19.28 AM Screen shot 2016-03-18 at 7.31.44 AM

The above map shows ice at the poles as soft orange, or rather, it is because it was ‘warm’ ice, I am guessing.  The fact is, this previous el Nino was definitely stronger than this most recent one.  There was far less cold zones back then.  The oceans around Europe were much, much warmer and the Antarctic cold upwelling water was less than a quarter what it is today.  This el Nino didn’t warm the planet nearly as much as 25 years ago.

Screen shot 2016-03-19 at 10.31.48 AM

This ocean temperature map is most interesting.  It begins at the top with ocean temperatures across the equatorial region offshore of South America, the cold water was very little in April last year, the brown spots are the hottest water events which mainly were July to December, note how the heat pulsed, it was not consistent nor did it have just one peak, it peaked several times.  Now it is fading fast.El Niño & La Niña (El Niño-Southern Oscillation) | NOAA Climate.gov has this:

Screen shot 2016-03-22 at 9.26.00 PM

Each ‘warning’ at the government site is behind the times.  The top graphs here show clearly that we are not entering the ‘blue’ zone and  out of the ‘orange zone’.  Blue=neutral or cold, not ‘sort of warm’.  It is COOLING rapidly now.  Very rapidly.  The chance of a strong cold la Nina this fall is not ‘50%’ but rather ‘100%’.  The stronger the el Nino, the stronger the la Nina flip.

 

This may not happen, of course, but chances of happening is extremely high.  Especially when we see that ice and cold water surrounding Antarctica was barely dented by this ‘super warm el Nino’.  This is highly significant.

 


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12 Comments

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12 responses to “Rapidly Dying El Nino Bringing Big La Nina Cold Cycle Next

  1. ziff

    spring 2 months early here in BC , never seen that before . Haven’t touched my snow tires or chains in 3 yrs at least.

  2. Lou

    In Southern California the EN was hyped soooo much in the media.
    The storms that have nt happened, yet. Winter is over.

  3. emsnews

    The Midwest never really saw an el Nino winter. It got stuck in the ‘cold/nasty’ loop much of the winter this time. The West and East Coasts mainly had the ‘warm/wet’ loops.

    But occasionally the ‘cold/nasty’ loop hovered over us and it was below zero with repeat blizzards for a month! Typical el Nino weather, by the way.

  4. Jim R

    The long-term trend in sea ice is still in the ‘melting’ direction.
    http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/

    The north pole is melting faster. Overall, we are about ten percent low on ice, planetwide.

  5. Lou

    What good is ice? Once the poles were green.

  6. Jim R

    It keeps the climate the way it is now.
    We won’t like it very much, when it goes back to the wild variability of geologically ancient times.

  7. ziff

    OT , surprised no comment here on Trumps AIPAC speech , he’s getting serious now. going after the jewish vote. Does i t better than the others to, he’s having a jewish baby !!

  8. emsnews

    The ‘wild variability of…ancient times’ is called ‘The Ice Ages.’

  9. Jim R

    This is going to be more of a tropical age. The only tiny problemette with that, is:
    We have been feeding 7 billion humans with food grown where it rains now, and where it has been raining regularly for 1000 years or so. Give or take a few century long droughts. As rainfall patterns change, we won’t be able to do that any more.

    Might be good news for people living in Siberia, however…

  10. Lou

    7 billion, many poor and most polluting–well–yes, That is a problem.

  11. The orange color in the Arctic for the 1998 Super El Nino is TOO DAMN UNIFORM, just as it would look when someone uses photoshop to create a fictitiously warm area. Looks like sent you a stacked deck of “evidence.” Fact is, the Arctic Ice extent is on the third lowest extent for March 27th on that date this year, the latest date on record at the Cryosphere Today.

    http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/arctic.sea.ice.interactive.html

  12. Now, let’s see how much ice we have for that day, compared to the same day in 1998.

    http://igloo.atmos.uiuc.edu/cgi-bin/test/print.sh?fm=03&fd=27&fy=1998&sm=03&sd=27&sy=2016

    This year’s March 27th coverage is noticeably smaller than that in 1998.

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