This is our weather forecast. Contradictions abounding. The NOAA long range weather forecast for this spring was, it would be super hot. We were all going to roast to death except in Texas. Well, it is below freezing right now on my mountain and this is very cold for this time of year and worse, it will freeze at the end of the month which is insanely late for freezes. Not one day was above normal this month yet NOAA said the entire month would be above normal, far above normal.
I got only three daffodil flowers but the remainder froze. Zero apple blossoms so far. My mother-in-law lives in a warmer spot on the Hudson River and she got only six or seven magnolia blossoms this year, not a tree load. Zero apples blossoms so far. The apple crop further south was ravaged by extreme cold out of season and Colorado is half buried in deep snow this week. The entire US will be above freezing during the day today.
But it is nearly May! Certainly, it isn’t roaring hot. Our evil despotic rulers are gathering together to impose severe burdens on the rest of us to save us from being warm: Earth itself raises the stakes for the Paris climate accord:
As leaders from more than 150 countries gather this week to sign the historic pact, a drumbeat of bleak scientific findings has shown that current global pledges to combat climate change — including the Paris accord — aren’t aggressive enough to stave off the worst consequences.
These stupid taxes will be levied on the rest of us and handed over to dictators living in warm parts of the planet!!!! This is INSANE. The warm parts of the planet should pay the cold parts to be colder and the amount should be huge because heating is expensive and if the warm places like Brazil wants it colder, they should fork over the costs to those of us who live in near-Arctic conditions half of the year!
Here is NOAA’s own map showing how much of the US will be below freezing next Tuesday morning:
Good lord, even California all the way down the warm coast will be cool. Miami will be warm. And the coast of Texas. El Niño & La Niña (El Niño-Southern Oscillation) | NOAA Climate.gov:
El Niño is still hanging around, and it’s expected to continue through spring or early summer, but the impact on U.S. weather during this transition season is usually minor. Meanwhile, NOAA issued a La Niña Watch: conditions are favorable for La Niña to emerge within 6 months. In particular, heat content in the central Pacific dropped below average in March for the first time in a year. NOAA’s next ENSO update will be released on May 12.
Here is what they predicted for this month:
NOAA is now predicting this:
They changed the Northeast from super warm to super cold but made Colorado, for example, super warm for this month! HAHAHA. Blind archery usually misses targets most of the time. In general, the further in the future the forecast, the more it is ‘hotter than before’ due to ideology. As the forecast gets closer in time, the guys then revise it downwards.
The significance of the correlation between the GDO, PDO, and global temperature is that once this connection has been made, climatic changes during the past century can be understood, and the pattern of glacial and climatic fluctuations over the past millennia can be reconstructed.
These patterns can then be used to project climatic changes in the future. Using the pattern established for the past several hundred years, in 1998 I projected the temperature curve for the past century into the next century and came up with curve ‘A’ in Figure 5 as an approximation of what might be in store for the world if the pattern of past climate changes continued.
Ironically, that prediction was made in the warmest year of the past three decades and at the acme of the 1977-1998 warm period. At that time, the projected curved indicated global cooling beginning about 2005 ± 3-5 years until about 2030, then renewed warming from about 2030 to about 2060 (unrelated to CO2—just continuation of the natural cycle), then another cool period from about 2060 to about 2090.
This was admittedly an approximation, but it was radically different from the 1° F per decade warming called for by the IPCC. Because the prediction was so different from the IPCC prediction, time would obviously show which projection was ultimately correct.
Now a decade later, the global climate has not warmed 1° F as forecast by the IPCC but has cooled slightly until 2007-08 when global temperatures turned sharply downward. In 2008, NASA satellite imagery (Figure 6) confirmed that the Pacific Ocean had switched from the warm mode it had been in since 1977 to its cool mode, similar to that of the 1945-1977 global cooling period. The shift strongly suggests that the next several decades will be cooler, not warmer as predicted by the IPCC.
My family has studied the sun and the earth for more than two generations. As professional astronomers, they all said to me over the years that the most important star to study was our Local Star. When my grandfather was born, the idea that there was an Ice Age was just being described by scientists. The idea that there were multiple Ice Ages was figured out when my grandfather was quite old.
The news that there were many Ice Ages dawned on us only when I was a young lady going to university! We were in a cold cycle back then and people were in a panic about global cooling. Then the temperature bumped up a tad and we were told, we were going to roast to death. It looks like that isn’t going to happen.
The PDO cool mode has replaced the warm mode in the Pacific Ocean, virtually assuring us of about 30 years of global cooling, perhaps much deeper than the global cooling from about 1945 to 1977. Just how much cooler the global climate will be during this cool cycle is uncertain.
Recent solar changes suggest that it could be fairly severe, perhaps more like the 1880 to 1915 cool cycle than the more moderate 1945-1977 cool cycle. A more drastic cooling, similar to that during the Dalton and Maunder minimums, could plunge the Earth into another Little Ice Age, but only time will tell if that is likely.
The Little Ice Age had warm cycles embedded in it just like all global warming cycles do the same. Prominent Scientists Declare Climate Claims Ahead of UN Summit ‘Irrational’ – ‘Based On Nonsense’ – ‘Leading us down a false path’ but this won’t stop the rape of everyone living in Eurasia and North America within the glaciation zone of each Ice Age.
US weather ‘preferable’ for most thanks to climate change; but there’s a catch | Environment | The Guardian is complaining. They desperately need super hot weather to scare everyone.
Vast areas of the contiguous US have warmed considerably during winters without becoming unbearably hot during the summers, making the climate generally more agreeable to the public. A new study has found that 80% of the American population lives in areas where the weather has become more “preferable” since 1974.
According to the analysis by Duke University and New York University, 99% of Americans live in places where the average January temperature has increased, with just 60% in locations where the July temperature has risen. Rainfall and humidity changes have also, largely, changed by a favorable degree for many Americans.
This shift to more temperate conditions means that “virtually all Americans are now experiencing the much milder winters that they typically prefer, and these mild winters have not been offset by markedly more uncomfortable summers or other negative changes,” the paper found.
The warning sign for cooling is how hurricanes hardly happen these days. As our Real Rulers roll up their sleeves to loot the rest of us, and it gets really, really cold in the Northern Hemisphere especially in winter, we will see a peasants revolt from hell in Europe and North America and for good reason. Already, EU looting efforts have caused the elderly to die faster due to being too cold in winter.
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