Major hurricane landfall drought continues: 4001 days and counting in updated Pielke graph: I was annoyed with celebrations at the anti-global warming site, Watts Up With That? | The world’s most viewed site on global warming and climate change and I tried warning them all that celebrating the recent brush with a very real category 3 hurricane was nothing to sneer at, and was attacked for pointing this out. The reason I am putting up this exchange is to illustrate how finesse and nit-picking looks really, really, really nasty when one is discussing any issue. Taking a broader view pays off greatly. Pretending that massive hurricanes killing many just offshore to the south, isn’t something big, looks really bad. And we escaped this ourselves due to a slight shift to the east by a major storm.
Right now, the hurricane has come onshore in South Carolina and due to it being further north, the storm weakened as half of it passed over land while only the eye stayed offshore, so it was luckily for the people in the US living in its path, it was ‘only’ a category 2 which has 100 mph sustained winds instead of 120 mph sustained winds. Lucky, lucky! Not. Hurricane MATTHEW at the NOAA site:
It looks like the eye won’t enter the US though the satellite seems to show it just has in the last hour, in South Carolina It looks more and more like the hurricane is going to merge with a smaller storm in the Atlantic and then both will probably turn and go into the same Bahama Island chain it hit earlier and then…into the warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico? If so, this could cause havoc there. We can only wait to see.
Later in this debate at WUWT comes this exchange:
I am using these exchanges to illustrate the dangers of people being ‘ideological’. Both left and right politics hew to being ‘group think’ which senselessly attacks anyone who cautions people about being obnoxious. I get banned from various sites whenever I caution people about how they look to outsiders. Since ideology and being insensitive to others is how ‘group think’ operates, the people encouraging ‘group think’ get trapped in their own ideology and can’t change direction.
There is a real danger for people stuck on some sort of ideological point of view, it can kill people, has killed people, we humans have the ability to change our minds and should change our minds as events unfold but we have this contrary system whereby we cling to various beliefs come hell or high water. What annoys me most about the climate debates is how both sides have become very ideological and thus, illogical. Unable to concede even one inch of ‘territory’ to the opposing side, the ‘debate’ becomes this huge python devouring the subject it is strangling.
Using the excuse that the past didn’t keep perfect track of hurricanes, dooms the very arguments used by anti-global warmists that they have better ‘science’. Explaining to outsiders that we had ‘imperfect records’ in the past means we don’t know how many hurricanes happened in the past but this begs to differ over this topic due to the fact that hurricanes that made LANDFALL were all very much recorded because governments had to track these going back to the old Spanish Empire days, for example. So we can use these records for our own understanding.
And the key here is, the US gets hit much less often than the Caribbean. So to understand ‘climate’ rather than US weather, we need to have a very careful statistical system for describing stuff. For example, the gigantic disastrous storm, Super Storm Sandy, didn’t have lots of high hurricane winds, it just was a massive mess. I lived in it and watched in amazement as we got over 12 inches of rain and the flooding was terrible. At WUWT, whenever that storm is mentioned, the crew there crows that it wasn’t a ‘real hurricane’ and they don’t notice that no one calls it a ‘hurricane’ but it was very much one of the more dangerous storms to hit the East Coast and did extensive damage.
The human desperation to cling to an ideology is a fascinating topic. We are quite capable of not seeing reality, look at our Real Rulers. They live in La-La-Land and even with many warnings on the horizon, cannot see what is coming next. It is just amazing. Blindness to the future is a common human condition. As for climate: the past is the future.
Claims that the future will be different from the past requires great levels of proof. I am assuming, since the planet has been generally cooling down since the Minoan Warm Period, we are still in the mysterious ‘Ice Age Cycle’ and have not escaped it at all so far. Our leaders who wrote the latest global warming rules are determined to carry out their destruction of Western Civilization which is why they are simultaneously bringing in millions of aliens to overrun things with people who are hostile to liberalism and liberals are doing this which is why I say, humans are insane!
They really can’t think things through very well. The detachment from reality is severe. The mysterious ways the human brain operates is a fascinating topic and one little understood even as scientists have throughly mapped out the human brain and just the information surrounding how sex hormones affect human brains is full of dangers that cause ideological freezes of the human mind, the brain and the mind are two quite different entities!
And our minds operate on our emotions which is why irrationality takes over ideology every time, it doesn’t matter what system of ideology it is, what it does the to mind is amazing and pretty thorough. It leads to literal blindness to dangers, for example, which is why politicians love tapping into this to drive people into dying for ridiculous wars like WWI and WWII, just for example. Shocking, deadly and destructive: many ideologies end up doing exactly that.
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