Typical La Nina weather which reminds me greatly of the early 1960’s in Tucson, AZ, when we had two very cool, wet winters and the arroyos became rivers and I had to pull people out of the raging rivers when they drove into these…the California drought is now totally over, also. Lots of blizzards roaring across the nation, one after another.
The global warming cycle seems to be ending just like it did so many years ago. It was way below zero on my mountain this week and below 20F during the day. It is now warming up to 27 degrees. Feels hot only the wind is beginning to blow and we will have a violent storm starting right about now…
How does global warming or global cooling affect this climate engine?
The point to remember is energy from sunlight is delivered at a constant rate to the Earth’s surface, because solar output is more or less steady, and the size of the Earth doesn’t change. The power of the climate system, the rate at which work can be performed by the climate system, is constant.
WUWT has some good stuff and bad stuff, they allow all levels of information and then add their own comments to it like I do here. Today, they had this obvious blooper as far as I am concerned: the strange belief that the sun’s energy is ‘at a constant rate’ which is totally not true at all.
Even tiny variations in solar energy input to our climate translate into huge differences in effect. Then there are the Ice Ages: something not only triggers Ice Ages, it also stops Ice Ages and melts 90% of the ice except in Antarctica, for brief periods.
In all melt downs, these happen very fast and the warmest temperatures are during the first 5,000 years of warmth. The ends are always very sudden and the coldest temperatures are in the first 10,000 years of the Ice Age.
The only mechanism able to do these sudden lurches is the sun. All other systems are less likely to do these violent swings.
Friends of my father wrote this paper after living in Arizona, Lowell Observatory – which is where my grandfather worked until the Mt. Wilson observatory was built…they are both European astronomers: 1969A&A…..3..236A Page 236
When my grandfather worked at the Lowell Observatory, he rode on horseback to Meteor Crater which is kind of near by and picked up large pieces of the meteor and did studies about it including cutting it to see what it was like inside…it now rests at the Smithsonian Institute and to think I used to play with it when little!
As soon as this paper appeared, we were all very excited for it explains the Ice Ages to us! Then it was dropped. The astronomers (but not my father) said, ‘Big deal, it varies on this 11 year cycle’. Then they had to admit it varied on a 30 year cycle, too, and maybe a longer cycle but…
From 2007:Global Warming: The Sun is a variable star that causes the Earth’s major ice ages. – ScienceBlog.com is a mess of an article but at least it admits we have a star that creates cold cycles and warm cycles. The article dwells mainly on the longer warm cycles which happened over a million years ago.
Doesn’t dare mention that all the cycles of the last 500,000 years has been very much on the cold side which gets colder and colder each time and the warm periods shorter. No, that scares people, so the article goes on to talk about how this warm cycle must last another 50,000-100,000 years which is ridiculous since none in the past five cycles have done this.
Global Warming: The Sun is a variable star that causes the Earth’s major ice ages.
The global warming we are now experiencing is part of a major natural cycle of increased solar energy striking the planet, a phase of the sun’s natural cycle of expansion and contractions.
This natural rhythm of the sun is the cause of the major cold glacial and warm interglacial periods that geologists have determined, happened with remarkable “reoccuring regularity” over the past million years and probably throughout much of the life of the planet.
That is a major move towards reality even as the writer of the article doesn’t want to understand what this means. Yet in 2015, Slate (warning: a Fake News Site beloved of global warmists) has this headline in 2015: Sunspot cycles won’t cause a “Mini Ice Age” by 2030. – Slate. The article claims ‘Yes, the sun is a variable star, but its output is remarkably stable’.
Same month that year: Diminishing solar activity may bring new Ice Age by 2030 – Astronomy Now.com…which notices that the sun’s activity level is falling faster than normal and thus, may herald a cold cycle that might be even colder than the previous cycle.
And here is my old article from 2014 on this topic: The Sun IS Becoming A Variable Star As Dr. Aden Meinel Predicted …and basically, this tiny handful of articles are just about it! One would imagine there would be lots and lots of debate but no, it is going to be a debate only when it is obvious something is very, very wrong.
Which is typical of humans. I often say, changing minds is harder than moving mountains.