ENSO Page | Watts Up With That?: It is very obvious now that not only is el Nino aborted, we are definitely seeing the beginning of a la Nina cold cycle again. Even more interesting is how the ‘path of Atlantic Hurricanes’ is also way below normal which means no hurricanes this year from this sector. The Antarctic has very high ice levels and in general, there are more reports globally of unusually cold weather, not hot weather.
Winter-like pattern to hit parts of U.S. again as temperatures plunge. All the heat waves this summer were simply due to cold waves compressing warmer air in front of them. Temperatures are, in general, 5-10 degrees below normal this month for everyone except the extreme West Coast.
Synopsis: The chance of El Niño is about 70% during the Northern Hemisphere summer and is
close to 80% during the fall and early winter.
This is increasingly physically impossible. The sun heats up the oceans and when the seasons heads towards winter in the Northern Hemisphere, the warm water off Mexico is fading further, not getting warmer and besides, this has been a cold winter, not a warm one, in the Southern Hemisphere.
Of course, NOAA and NASA will simply corrupt the past data making it ‘cooler’ to fix this problem and can then announce that this year is the warmest in earth’s history. Which they are already saying! To my great annoyance.
‘Climate models not only significantly over-predict observed warming in the tropical troposphere, but they represent it in a fundamentally different way than is observed’ due to data tampering using computer programs to ‘adjust’ the data…usually so it makes today warmer and yesterday cooler. This childish game of ‘painting the roses red’ to fool the Red Queen ends badly because reality strikes back in the form of blizzards and freezing cold.
Each week the upwelling off Peru is larger, getting quite big, I believe. ENSO Wrap-Up for the Indian Ocean says:
Values of the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) have remained in negative territory over the past two weeks, with the latest weekly index value (13 July) −0.4 °C. Waters to the northwest of Australia and south of Indonesia are warmer than average while sea surface temperatures in the Arabian Sea are near average. Values of the IOD index have been below the threshold level since mid-June; if values of or below −0.4 °C persist until early August, 2014 will be considered a negative IOD year.
If several major ocean dipoles go cold at the same time, this means colder weather. And what causes this? CO2? Or has Suddenly, the sun is eerily quiet: Where did the sunspots go? For some odd reason, this now Sun goes spotless, baffling scientists which amazes me because my father wrote about this several years ago, predicting it would happen and his paper was turned down by all the major publications so he burned it and then died.
I am royally pissed about this. It is no mystery. Periodically, due to the sun being an increasingly variable star, it slows down its energy output. Then suddenly gets much warmer which is why all grinding Ice Ages end very suddenly, universally. The hottest periods in any Interglatial is in the first 5,000 to 10,000 years.
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